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July 2022 Housing Market Trends Report – News

  • The national inventory of active listings increased by 30.7% over last year, a record-high growth rate. 
  • The total inventory of unsold homes, including pending listings, increased by just 3.5% year-over-year due to a decline in pending inventory but has increased for the first time since September 2019. 
  • Sellers paused in July, as newly listed homes declined by 2.8% on a year-over-year basis.
  • The median list price grew by 16.6% in July, supported by slowly adjusting seller expectations and a bigger share of larger homes being listed. However, signs of softening price growth are present in a decelerating growth rate and a rising share of price reductions.
  • Time on market was 35 days, just two days less than last year but 26 days less than typical pre-pandemic levels.®’s July housing data release reveals that the housing market is continuing to move toward more balance. Inventory levels continue to rise, providing more options to homebuyers who are still actively looking for a new home and price reductions are also increasing, as sellers adjust to the new normal. However, housing remains expensive and fast-paced with the median asking price close to June’s all-time high while time on market is still slightly lower than last year and significantly lower than pre-pandemic levels. Although demand has softened greatly compared to last year, housing activity remains robust compared to pre-pandemic levels. 

Less Frenzy Means More Options for Those Still Looking to Buy a Home

Nationally, the inventory of homes actively for sale on a typical day in July increased by 30.7% over the past year, the largest increase in inventory in the data history and higher than last month’s growth rate of 18.7% which was itself record-breaking. This amounted to 176000 more homes actively for sale on a typical day in July compared to the previous year and more choice for buyers who are still looking for a new home.

Home Active Listing Count

Despite this improvement, as the chart above clearly illustrates, active listings lag their pre-pandemic and even early-pandemic level. The number of active listings in July was 15.7% below 2020 and 45.4% lower than the pre-pandemic 2017-2019 average.

The total number of unsold homes nationwide—a metric that includes active listings and listings in various stages of the selling process that are not yet sold—was up 3.5% year-over-year, the first time this measure saw positive annual growth since September 2019.  

Total Home Listing Count

The total inventory of includes homes in pending status, which are those  listings in various stages of the selling process that are not yet sold. The inventory of pending listings on a typical day has declined by 19.4% compared to last July. This is a further deceleration from the 16.3% annual decline we reported for June. This moderating buyer demand has been spurred by rising interest rates and all-time high listing prices that have increased the cost of financing 80% of the typical home by 53% compared to a year ago.

Home Pending Listing Count

In July, newly listed homes declined by 2.8% compared to the same time last year, breaking a three month streak of positive annual listing growth since April. While sellers had been fueling the recent run of inventory growth with freshly listed homes, in July, it appears that seller sentiment may have shifted. While price growth has not yet shown signs of any significant softening and time on market remains brisk, sellers may feel that they have missed the peak, or that it’s too difficult and expensive to buy another home at this time given the costs of financing, a concern that could affect nearly three-quarters of potential sellers per recent survey data. In the latest Fannie Mae National Housing Survey, the net percentage of respondents who believed it was a good time to sell in June 2022 declined by 15% compared to May, the biggest drop in selling sentiment since December 2020. While the market frenzy seen over the past couple of years was unsustainable and a greater balance between ultimately benefits everyone, homeowners may be growing wary of this recent shift toward more balance and what it could ultimately mean. Homeowners trying to decide if now is the time to list their home for sale are still in a good position in many markets across the country as a decade of rising home prices gives them a substantial equity cushion, and buyer interest has helped homes move quickly, shortening the typical home sale timeline.

Newly Listed Homes Count

The inventory of homes actively for sale in the 50 largest U.S. metros overall increased by 41.0% over last year in July, outpacing the national growth rate. The inventory of homes in large Northeastern metros was slightly higher (+3.7% year-over-year) compared to last year while other regions saw stronger growth. In the West, active listings grew most (by +72.0% year-over-year), followed by the South (+55.1%), and Midwest (+11.7%). Only the South saw newly listed homes increase by an average of 3.7% compared to last year, while northeastern (-14.3%), midwestern (-11.0%), and western (-4.6) metros saw a decrease in new listings compared to last year. Given the regional pattern of newly listed homes growth, it’s also possible that in addition to a shift in seller sentiment, record-breaking heat waves that spread across the country may have slowed listing activity, especially in northern regions less equipped for handling scorching temperatures. 

Inventory increased in 45 out of 50 of the largest metros compared to last year. Metros which saw the most inventory growth include Phoenix (+158.7%), Austin (+154.5%), and Raleigh (+137.5%), all of which experienced booming demand during the pandemic. Inventory is still declining on a year-over-year basis in 5 markets: Hartford (-17.3%), Chicago (8.2%), and Virginia Beach (-6.7%), Rochester (-5.8%), and Milwaukee (-5.7%). 

Thirteen of the 50 largest metros also saw the number of newly listed homes increase compared to last year, down from 25 in June. The markets which saw the highest year-over-year growth in newly listed homes included Las Vegas (+37.6%), Nashville (+37.1%) and Oklahoma City (+28.6%). Markets which are still seeing a decline in newly listed homes compared to last year include Baltimore (-22.2%), San Jose (-21.7%), and Hartford (-21.6%). 

Time on Market Higher Than Last Year in Many Metros, but Homes Are Still Moving Historically Fast in General

The typical home spent 35 days on the market this July which is just two days less than last year. Given that home sellers are slowing their pace of listing and pending listings are declining, we expect time on market to increase compared to last year in the coming weeks. However, while time on market is expected to increase from recent record lows, homes still spent 26 fewer days on the market this July than typical 2017 to 2019 timing. That gap is still significant and can be reassuring to sellers who may be wondering what to expect when selling their home during the remainder of the summer season.

In the 50 largest U.S. metros, the typical home spent 31 days on the market, the same as last July. Among these 50 largest metros, the South still saw the typical time on market decline by one day compared to last year, whereas time on market was about the same as last year in the Midwest and Northeast, and just two days longer than last year in the West.

About half (24) of the 50 largest metros saw time on market increase compared to the previous year, and three saw no change in time on market year-over-year. Among these larger metropolitan areas, homes saw the greatest yearly decline in time spent on market in Miami (-16 days), Orlando (-6 days) and Tampa (-6 days). Austin saw time on market increase the most, by 11 days, followed by Denver (+8 days) and Riverside (+7 days).

Home Listing Time on Market

Signs of Softening Price Growth Are Emerging

The median national home price for active listings declined slightly to $449,000 in July, down from an all-time high of $450,000 in June and mirroring the seasonal trends seen in 2018 and 2019 when the price peaked in June and eased in July. This represents an annual growth rate of 16.6%, a slight deceleration from last month’s growth rate of 16.9%. The median listing price has been buoyed by slow adjustments to seller expectations as well as a shift in the mix of inventory which saw 57% of active listings comprise of larger (1750 sqft+) homes compared to just 54% last July. However, controlling for home size, the median listing price per square foot grew by 15.5% year-over-year, down from a growth rate of 16.2% in June, further signaling a moderation in price growth ahead. 

In addition, the median list price of listings in pending status–those homes for which the seller has already accepted a buyer’s offer to purchase–decelerated, from a year-over-year rate of 13.9% in June to a growth rate of 12.4% in July. This is the third consecutive month of pending listing price deceleration and indicates that the homes which buyers are choosing to buy are becoming increasingly less expensive than the typical listed home.

Median Home Listing Price

The share of homes having their price reduced increased from 9.4% last July to 19.1% this year and is close to typical 2017 to 2019 levels. While price reductions have increased significantly compared to last year, as a share of inventory they were above July 2019 (18.1% of inventory) and still slightly below 2018 (20.8%) and 2017 (19.5%).

Home Listing Price Reduced Share

Active listing prices in the nation’s largest metros grew by an average of 12.0% compared to last year, decelerating from 13.3% last month. Southern metros led the charge in active listing price growth, growing by 16.4% on average over the past year.  The southern metros of Miami (+36.2%), Memphis (+32.7%), and Orlando (+28.4%), posted the highest year-over-year median list price growth in July. Large western metros saw the greatest increase in the share of price reductions (+18.7 percentage points), followed by southern metros (+10.6 percentage points). Homes in Phoenix (+31.8 percentage points), Las Vegas (+28.6 percentage points) and Austin (+27.8 percentage points) showed the greatest growth in the share of homes with price reductions compared to last year. 

July 2022 Regional Statistics (50 Largest Metro Combined Average)

RegionActive Listing Count YoYNew Listing Count YoYMedian Listing Price YoYMedian Listing Price Per SF YoYMedian Days on Market Y-Y (Days)Price Reduced Share Y-Y (Percentage Points)
Midwest11.7%-11.0%9.9%8.5%+0 days5.4%
Northeast3.7%-14.3%7.2%7.5%+0 days3.7%
South55.1%3.7%16.4%14.3%-1 day10.6%
West72.0%-4.6%9.7%9.4%+2 days18.7%

July 2022 Housing Overview by Top 50 Largest Metros 

MetroMedian Listing PriceMedian Listing Price YoYMedian Listing Price per Sq. Ft. YoYActive Listing Count YoYNew Listing Count YoYMedian Days on MarketMedian Days on Market Y-Y (Days)Price Reduced SharePrice Reduced Share Y-Y (Percentage Points)
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Roswell, Ga.$435,0008.8%10.3%45.3%-5.7%29-319.5%10.8%
Austin-Round Rock, Texas$598,00011.3%11.7%154.5%7.9%291140.6%27.8%
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, Md.$360,0003.1%4.1%2.6%-22.2%35117.2%6.4%
Birmingham-Hoover, Ala.$297,00010.1%13.6%29.5%-5.4%34-116.4%9.0%
Boston-Cambridge-Newton, Mass.-N.H.$740,0009.2%1.4%10.0%-11.8%28-217.7%5.4%
Buffalo-Cheektowaga-Niagara Falls, N.Y.$250,0005.3%6.4%18.7%-5.6%3128.4%2.6%
Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, N.C.-S.C.$430,00010.3%13.7%69.7%18.8%33618.4%5.4%
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, Ill.-Ind.-Wis.$359,0002.6%1.6%-8.2%-18.2%31-515.0%3.8%
Cincinnati, Ohio-Ky.-Ind.$325,000-2.9%2.0%6.7%-3.4%29-212.6%4.3%
Cleveland-Elyria, Ohio$220,0003.8%9.5%3.0%-6.7%36-115.0%4.9%
Columbus, Ohio$345,00015.0%12.1%17.9%-15.6%22619.8%7.1%
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, Texas$475,00020.3%17.0%81.2%11.6%29-127.0%16.8%
Denver-Aurora-Lakewood, Colo.$650,0008.3%5.3%70.4%-5.6%24830.0%18.8%
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, Mich.$280,0000.9%4.3%32.2%-3.9%28523.2%9.5%
Hartford-West Hartford-East Hartford, Conn.$380,00011.9%18.8%-17.3%-21.6%28-19.4%1.0%
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, Texas$393,0007.3%9.2%24.7%-1.6%35-121.1%9.0%
Indianapolis-Carmel-Anderson, Ind.$325,00016.1%14.2%39.1%-5.1%32-418.4%8.0%
Jacksonville, Fla.$435,00024.2%21.9%58.7%-0.2%35-221.0%13.2%
Kansas City, Mo.-Kan.$395,00019.7%13.4%36.4%-2.5%39113.8%6.2%
Las Vegas-Henderson-Paradise, Nev.$484,00018.0%19.9%83.3%37.6%28343.0%28.6%
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, Calif.$950,0000.1%4.6%36.5%-13.8%30-319.6%12.5%
Louisville/Jefferson County, Ky.-Ind.$300,00011.1%8.2%22.5%-3.4%25218.0%7.2%
Memphis, Tenn.-Miss.-Ark.$318,00032.7%27.1%56.4%-1.9%31-514.9%8.3%
Miami-Fort Lauderdale-West Palm Beach, Fla.$625,00036.2%22.0%1.3%1.3%42-1614.8%7.8%
Milwaukee-Waukesha-West Allis, Wis.$360,00023.1%13.0%-5.7%-13.2%30113.6%-0.4%
Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, Minn.-Wis.$420,00015.1%7.6%5.0%-17.6%33114.3%5.9%
Nashville-Davidson–Murfreesboro–Franklin, Tenn.$550,00023.3%15.1%121.9%37.1%22526.8%14.6%
New Orleans-Metairie, La.$345,0000.6%2.0%23.4%-19.2%42-222.0%10.4%
New York-Newark-Jersey City, N.Y.-N.J.-Pa.$699,00012.3%16.2%4.3%-10.0%51210.9%2.0%
Oklahoma City, Okla.$317,00010.6%16.8%48.0%28.6%38214.8%4.0%
Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, Fla.$464,00028.4%22.6%67.7%4.2%31-621.8%11.8%
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, Pa.-N.J.-Del.-Md.$345,0006.2%7.5%2.4%-19.5%40-115.5%5.0%
Phoenix-Mesa-Scottsdale, Ariz.$525,00011.1%14.6%158.7%9.2%30142.6%31.8%
Pittsburgh, Pa.$240,000-3.1%1.0%3.4%-13.9%40115.8%3.9%
Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, Ore.-Wash.$600,0006.3%7.2%51.0%-9.4%31-228.2%15.6%
Providence-Warwick, R.I.-Mass.$480,00011.7%9.9%10.9%-9.0%29-111.2%5.7%
Raleigh, N.C.$495,00021.2%16.6%137.5%15.9%23521.2%13.2%
Richmond, Va.$392,00012.5%10.3%4.0%-7.3%36-29.8%3.4%
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, Calif.$598,00010.7%13.3%76.5%-8.8%34723.3%16.5%
Rochester, N.Y.$235,000-3.1%4.0%-5.8%-20.8%17112.3%1.9%
Sacramento–Roseville–Arden-Arcade, Calif.$629,0005.4%6.5%72.3%-12.0%30330.9%19.7%
San Antonio-New Braunfels, Texas$390,00016.4%12.7%68.3%13.2%33-219.9%10.2%
San Diego-Carlsbad, Calif.$900,0009.8%11.9%45.4%-11.7%27125.4%16.8%
San Francisco-Oakland-Hayward, Calif.$1,099,00010.0%6.0%51.2%-18.6%30218.4%12.0%
San Jose-Sunnyvale-Santa Clara, Calif.$1,400,00012.0%7.5%42.8%-21.7%28021.0%15.0%
Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, Wash.$795,00014.9%6.7%103.8%3.8%28-223.9%18.0%
St. Louis, Mo.-Ill.$279,0009.4%8.4%0.2%-15.1%39113.8%4.7%
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, Fla.$440,00025.7%20.5%91.9%18.2%29-626.5%16.8%
Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, Va.-N.C.$360,00014.7%11.5%-6.7%-16.1%25017.6%6.3%
Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-Va.-Md.-W. Va.$580,00013.3%2.2%5.4%-21.5%31017.6%7.4%

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Sabrina Speianu, Danielle HaleSabrina Speianu, Danielle HaleDanielle Hale Original Article Appeared at : Source

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